TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group B

Volume:
$1,050

Spacestation Gaming

 - Kalshi

Spacestation Gaming - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spacestation Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
$488
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Outlast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$554
N/A
N/A
$502
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Spacestation Gaming and Outlast in the North America League Kickoff Group B, scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the best-of-one match, with specific handling for cancellations, ties, forfeits, and delays.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, resolving to Yes for both possible match outcomes, making it fundamentally unresolvable as a winner-prediction market. Polymarket provides a coherent binary framework with explicit edge-case handling.Hero tip: Kalshi's market appears to be mislabeled or misconfigured. If you are trading Kalshi, seek clarification on whether the market is actually a Yes/No on match occurrence rather than winner prediction. For Polymarket, the 7-day delay threshold and 50-50 tie/cancellation resolution are binding. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will settle identically.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both Outlast win and Spacestation Gaming win scenarios resolve to Yes. This creates a logical contradiction: the market cannot simultaneously resolve Yes for both mutually exclusive outcomes. The market structure suggests it may be intended as a Yes/No on whether the match occurs, not on the winner. Key Quote: If Outlast wins...resolves to Yes. If Spacestation Gaming wins...resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Clear binary outcome: resolves to Spacestation Gaming if they win, Outlast if they win. Cancellations, ties, and delays beyond 7 days resolve to 50-50. Forfeits before match start resolve to 50-50; forfeits during match awards to winning team. Resolution source is Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key Quote: If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.