TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group B
Volume:
$1,050
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Spacestation Gaming and Outlast in the North America League Kickoff Group B, scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the best-of-one match, with specific handling for cancellations, ties, forfeits, and delays.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, resolving to Yes for both possible match outcomes, making it fundamentally unresolvable as a winner-prediction market. Polymarket provides a coherent binary framework with explicit edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market appears to be mislabeled or misconfigured. If you are trading Kalshi, seek clarification on whether the market is actually a Yes/No on match occurrence rather than winner prediction. For Polymarket, the 7-day delay threshold and 50-50 tie/cancellation resolution are binding. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will settle identically.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Outlast win and Spacestation Gaming win scenarios resolve to Yes. This creates a logical contradiction: the market cannot simultaneously resolve Yes for both mutually exclusive outcomes. The market structure suggests it may be intended as a Yes/No on whether the match occurs, not on the winner. Key Quote: If Outlast wins...resolves to Yes. If Spacestation Gaming wins...resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Clear binary outcome: resolves to Spacestation Gaming if they win, Outlast if they win. Cancellations, ties, and delays beyond 7 days resolve to 50-50. Forfeits before match start resolve to 50-50; forfeits during match awards to winning team. Resolution source is Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key Quote: If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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