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Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs M80 (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Spacestation Gaming vs M80?

Volume:
$29,257

Spacestation Gaming

 - Kalshi

Spacestation Gaming - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spacestation Gaming

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,207
N/A
N/A
$11,177
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

M80

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,823
N/A
N/A
$9,870
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Spacestation Gaming and M80 in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets ask who will win the match, with specific rules for cancellations, postponements, and forfeits.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'win' as resolving to 'Yes' for either team, lacking specificity. Polymarket clearly defines resolution based on which team wins.Hero tip: Be cautious with Kalshi; a win by either team resolves the market to 'Yes', making it less informative than Polymarket's team-specific outcomes. Focus on Polymarket for a clearer signal.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Spacestation Gaming or M80). A tie or cancellation resolves to 50-50. "This market will resolve to 'Spacestation Gaming' if Spacestation Gaming win the match against M80."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either M80 or Spacestation Gaming wins. "If M80 wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Spacestation Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Spacestation Gaming and M80 in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spacestation Gaming" if Spacestation Gaming win the match against M80. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Spacestation Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If M80 wins the North America League Stage 2 2026: M80 vs. Spacestation Gaming R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Spacestation Gaming wins the North America League Stage 2 2026: M80 vs. Spacestation Gaming R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual forecasts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources for this market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to differences in user base, trading volume, and market-making activity. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to varying interpretations of the same information. Furthermore, the liquidity and depth of the market can influence price discovery; lower volume on one platform could result in greater price volatility. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for this Rainbow Six Siege match.