TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-one Rainbow Six Siege match between Spacestation Gaming and DarkZero Esports scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET as part of the North America League Kickoff Group B. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single competitive match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive edge-case handling (cancellations, ties, forfeits resolve 50-50) while Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No structure with no explicit guidance for non-decisive outcomes. Both platforms agree on the primary resolution source (Liquipedia) and winner determination, but diverge on how to handle match non-completion or tie scenarios.Hero Tip:
For traders on both platforms: assume the match will complete with a decisive winner (most likely outcome). If any non-completion or tie scenario emerges, Polymarket traders should expect a 50-50 split, while Kalshi traders face resolution uncertainty. Request Kalshi's official tie/cancellation policy in writing before the event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Comprehensive edge-case framework: resolves to winning team if match completes decisively; resolves 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeits/disqualifications. Resolves to winning team if match begins but one team forfeits mid-match. Source: Liquipedia within 2 hours, or credible reporting with video evidence.Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure: resolves Yes if either Spacestation Gaming or DarkZero Esports wins the match. No explicit resolution path for cancellations, ties, delays, or forfeits. Scope appears to assume match completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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