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Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Wildcard Gaming (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Shopify Rebellion vs Wildcard Gaming?

Volume:
$73,914

Wildcard Gaming

 - Kalshi

Wildcard Gaming - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 7:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wildcard Gaming

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,409
N/A
N/A
$20,143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shopify Rebellion

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,684
N/A
N/A
$27,919
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market concerns the outcome of a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Shopify Rebellion and Wildcard Gaming in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage. Users are betting on which team will win the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' outcome for either team winning, while Polymarket specifies a 'Yes' outcome for each team individually. This creates ambiguity on Kalshi.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for a clearer definition of winning conditions. Be mindful of the 50-50 resolution on cancellation or tie.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Shopify Rebellion if they win, Wildcard Gaming if they win, and 50-50 if canceled or tied. "This market will resolve to 'Shopify Rebellion' if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Wildcard Gaming."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Wildcard Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Shopify Rebellion wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Shopify Rebellion and Wildcard Gaming in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Wildcard Gaming. This market will resolve to "Wildcard Gaming" if Wildcard Gaming win the match against Shopify Rebellion. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if Wildcard Gaming wins the specified match, and to Yes if Shopify Rebellion wins the same match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled before play, or forfeited prior to any action, the market resolves to the fair market price. If play begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the governing body's official result. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. While sportsbooks focus on maximizing profit, this market aggregates probabilities based on informed speculation, providing a unique view of the Rainbow Six Siege match.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player availability, such as injuries or roster changes, could significantly shift expectations. In-game performance during other matches in the league could also impact perceptions of team strength. Major strategic announcements from either Shopify Rebellion or Wildcard Gaming could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances of winning could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.