TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 10:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Shopify Rebellion and Spacestation Gaming in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 2 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Spacestation Gaming. This market will resolve to "Spacestation Gaming" if Spacestation Gaming win the match against Shopify Rebellion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Shopify Rebellion and Spacestation Gaming in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 2 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Spacestation Gaming. This market will resolve to "Spacestation Gaming" if Spacestation Gaming win the match against Shopify Rebellion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by direct trader participation and real-money incentives to forecast accurately. This market may price the outcome differently than a sportsbook would, especially as new information emerges closer to the match. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate belief of all participants: higher prices indicate greater confidence in that result, while lower prices suggest lower perceived probability. As new information surfaces—roster changes, recent team performance, or injury updates—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift dynamically until the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and winner of the best-of-one Rainbow Six Siege matchup between the two teams during the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage. Your position settles based on which team emerges victorious, with no ambiguity once official results are published.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Roster announcements or player substitutions for either team would likely trigger significant repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and performance trends in the current season all influence trader confidence. Injury reports, coaching changes, or statements from team management can also sway sentiment. Additionally, community analysis and expert commentary circulating on esports forums and social media may prompt traders to adjust positions as new insights emerge.