TOTAL VOLUME:

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24H VOL:

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

61%

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Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs

Volume:
$6,202

Shifters

 - Kalshi

Shifters - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 16, 2026

Closed: Apr 15, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shifters

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,243
N/A
N/A
$4,204
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rebels Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$915
N/A
N/A
$645
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: Shifters (-1.5) vs Rebels Gaming (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Rainbow Six Siege best-of-three match between Shifters and Rebels Gaming in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2, scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual game winners (Game 1 and Game 2), total games played, and game handicap outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match-winner market contains a logical tautology: both possible outcomes (Rebels Gaming win or Shifters win) resolve to 'Yes', making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradictory. Polymarket provides coherent, binary resolution logic.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi's match-winner market as void. All settlement decisions must rely exclusively on Polymarket's resolution framework and Liquipedia as the official source. Verify match results within 2 hours of conclusion; if Liquipedia has not published, use credible video evidence and consensus reporting.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match-winner market resolves to 'Yes' regardless of which team wins. Both 'Rebels Gaming wins' and 'Shifters wins' trigger 'Yes' resolution, creating a logical impossibility. No 'No' outcome is defined.
  • Polymarket: Match-winner market resolves to team name: 'Shifters' if Shifters win, 'Rebels Gaming' if Rebels Gaming win. Includes comprehensive edge-case rules: cancellation/tie/7-day delay = 50-50; forfeit before start = 50-50; forfeit/disqualification mid-match = team that wins; incomplete match with no forfeit = 50-50. Source: Liquipedia within 2 hours, else credible consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.