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Rainbow Six Siege: SCARZ vs KINOTROPE gaming (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of SCARZ vs KINOTROPE gaming?

Volume:
$12,718

SCARZ

 - Kalshi

SCARZ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 9:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SCARZ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,542
N/A
N/A
$5,087
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KINOTROPE gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,901
N/A
N/A
$3,451
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between SCARZ and KINOTROPE gaming as part of the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets ask who will win the match, with specific rules for cancellations, postponements, and forfeits.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves on either team winning, while Polymarket requires predicting the specific winning team.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi if you are confident in a specific team winning; favor Polymarket in that scenario. If you believe a cancellation or forfeit is likely, Kalshi may be preferable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to SCARZ if SCARZ wins, and to KINOTROPE gaming if KINOTROPE gaming wins. "If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either KINOTROPE gaming or SCARZ wins. The question is framed as 'If KINOTROPE gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If SCARZ wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between SCARZ and KINOTROPE gaming in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "SCARZ" if SCARZ win the match against KINOTROPE gaming. This market will resolve to "KINOTROPE gaming" if KINOTROPE gaming win the match against SCARZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the designated Rainbow Six Siege match. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Rainbow Six Siege APAC North market, specifically the SCARZ vs KINOTROPE gaming match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus probability around a particular outcome, with a total volume of $12,718 across both platforms. This allows traders to see where the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ currently stands on who will win this best-of-one match. The 24-hour volume is $8,918, indicating recent trading activity and interest in this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective intelligence of many traders. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets may quickly adjust to new information or account for factors sportsbooks overlook. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and arbitrage opportunities can sometimes exist between them. The current volume on this market suggests a moderate level of interest compared to traditional betting venues.