TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between SCARZ and Dplus in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 19 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SCARZ" if SCARZ win the match against Dplus. This market will resolve to "Dplus" if Dplus win the match against SCARZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between SCARZ and Dplus in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 19 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SCARZ" if SCARZ win the match against Dplus. This market will resolve to "Dplus" if Dplus win the match against SCARZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks often diverge because they operate under different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders directly—meaning odds reflect genuine belief rather than bookmaker margins. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because participants have real financial skin in the game and access to specialized information. However, sportsbook odds may occasionally move faster due to higher liquidity and professional trading desks monitoring global action simultaneously.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one possible result, and the price you see reflects the cumulative bets of all participants. As new information surfaces—team roster changes, recent performance, or strategic shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. The market price converges toward true probability as more capital flows into the most likely outcomes.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on which team emerges victorious in the best-of-one format. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate with breaking news, team announcements, or shifts in community sentiment. Resolution is automatic once the event is officially recorded.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before the match begins. Player roster announcements, injuries, or last-minute lineup changes for either team would likely trigger sharp price movement. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and patch updates to the game itself can reshape expectations around team strength. Media coverage, expert analysis, and community discussion often influence trader positioning in the hours leading up to competition. Any statement from team management or coaching staff regarding strategy could also sway the market as participants reassess win probability.