TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Rainbow Six Siege: RRX vs Dplus (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of RRX vs Dplus?

Volume:
$2,667

Dplus

 - Kalshi

Dplus - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 8:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dplus

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,178
N/A
N/A
$1,157
Settled
Yes
kalshi

RRX

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$844
N/A
N/A
$784
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market concerns the outcome of a single Rainbow Six Siege match between RRX and Dplus in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage. Bettors are predicting which team will win the best-of-one match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Discrepancy in how pre-match forfeits/disqualifications are resolved. Polymarket resolves to 50-50, while Kalshi resolves to the remaining team.Hero tip: A pre-match withdrawal on either side will resolve differently on each platform. Polymarket will split the market, while Kalshi will resolve to the team that didn't withdraw.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to RRX if RRX wins, Dplus if Dplus wins, and 50-50 if canceled, tied, or if a team forfeits *before* the match begins.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either RRX or Dplus wins the match. Does not explicitly address pre-match forfeits, implying resolution to the non-forfeiting team.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between RRX and Dplus in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "RRX" if RRX win the match against Dplus. This market will resolve to "Dplus" if Dplus win the match against RRX. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 2026 match between Dplus and RRX, scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 7:00 AM EDT. If Dplus wins the match, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if RRX wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome follows the official result declared by the governing league or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Rainbow Six Siege APAC North match between RRX and Dplus. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one outcome, with a combined volume of $2,667. This allows traders to see how the market is interpreting the teams’ chances of winning, aggregating information from multiple sources. The Rainbow Six Siege APAC North market provides a dynamic, real-time assessment of expectations for this specific contest, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many individuals, potentially incorporating insights not captured by conventional methods. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before an event gains widespread attention.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Rainbow Six Siege APAC North market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differences in market-making activity and risk appetite among traders on each platform contribute to these discrepancies. The volume traded on each platform – currently $2,667 – also plays a role, as lower volume can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. These factors mean that the odds for this match may not be identical across both venues.