TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Man eSports LFO and Barbie Boys in the Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Man eSports LFO" if Man eSports LFO win the match against Barbie Boys. This market will resolve to "Barbie Boys" if Barbie Boys win the match against Man eSports LFO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Man eSports LFO and Barbie Boys in the Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Man eSports LFO" if Man eSports LFO win the match against Barbie Boys. This market will resolve to "Barbie Boys" if Barbie Boys win the match against Man eSports LFO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds on Polymarket emerge from real-money positions, which can create sharper or more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks, especially for niche esports events. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or team news faster in some cases. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker mechanism that adjusts odds based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate conviction of all participants holding positions. As more traders back one outcome, the price moves higher; conversely, selling pressure drives it lower. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and sentiment shifts. Liquidity pools on the platform enable traders to enter and exit positions with transparent slippage, making the pricing mechanism both efficient and accessible.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once the Rainbow Six Siege match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the best-of-one fixture in the Asia Pacific League Oceania Stage 1 Group Stage. Resolution occurs after the match is officially completed and confirmed by the league or broadcast coverage. Traders should monitor official league announcements and esports news outlets for confirmation timing, as administrative delays occasionally extend the resolution window beyond the match end time.
Team roster changes, player substitutions, or last-minute lineup announcements can shift market odds significantly in esports. Recent performance data, scrim results, or public statements from players and coaches may influence trader sentiment. Meta shifts in Rainbow Six Siege or balance patches released by Ubisoft could alter team preparation and perceived strength. Injury or availability issues affecting key players, as well as head-to-head history and group stage standings, are closely watched by informed traders. Media coverage and analyst predictions can also trigger repricing as new perspectives reach the market.