TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between M80 and Shopify Rebellion in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 25 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against M80. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between M80 and Shopify Rebellion in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 25 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against M80. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes based on trader consensus and real-money commitment. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal where bettors and traders disagree on the likely winner, sometimes highlighting value or consensus shifts that haven't yet propagated across venues.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each trade moves the price incrementally, with larger orders facing higher slippage. The current odds reflect the aggregate belief of all active traders on the platform, updated continuously as new information emerges about team form, roster changes, or strategic adjustments ahead of the match.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official result of the Rainbow Six Siege match between M80 and Shopify Rebellion in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage. Traders should monitor official league announcements and match broadcasts to anticipate resolution timing and confirm the final score.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent tournament performance by either team, and meta shifts in the Rainbow Six competitive scene. Pre-match interviews, scrim results, and community analysis can shift trader sentiment. Additionally, odds may tighten as the match date approaches and more information becomes available. Live updates during the match itself—early round wins, tactical adjustments, or momentum swings—will likely trigger sharp price movements as traders react to unfolding events.