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Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of M80 vs Outlast?

Volume:
$8,064

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 9:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

M80

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,775
N/A
N/A
$1,645
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Outlast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,560
N/A
N/A
$2,728
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between M80 and Outlast in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The market asks who will win the match, with a tie or cancellation resulting in a 50-50 split.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifies the winning team for resolution, while Kalshi uses a binary 'Yes' for either team winning, creating ambiguity around the intended outcome.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for directional trading. Be cautious with Kalshi as the resolution criteria are less clear and could lead to unexpected outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'M80' if M80 wins, 'Outlast' if Outlast wins, and 50-50 for cancellation or tie. "This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Outlast."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Outlast or M80 wins. "If Outlast wins...the market resolves to Yes. If M80 wins...the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between M80 and Outlast in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Outlast. This market will resolve to "Outlast" if Outlast win the match against M80. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if Outlast wins the North America League Stage 2 2026, specifically for the Outlast vs. M80 R6 match scheduled for September 17, 2026, at 6:00 PM EDT. Conversely, the market resolves to Yes if M80 wins the same league stage for the identical match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any play, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on who will win the Rainbow Six Siege match between M80 and Outlast. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $8,064, with $7,962 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard displays the probabilities implied by the trading activity, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the outcome of this best-of-one North American League Stage 2 Group Stage contest. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional odds, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms driving price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and risk management, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. This market’s implied probability may diverge from sportsbook lines based on differing information, public sentiment, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths. This dynamic can create opportunities for informed traders to exploit discrepancies.