TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group A
Volume:
$24,679
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between M80 and 100 Thieves in the North America League Kickoff Group A, scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this best-of-one match, with resolution dependent on which team wins the match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria conflate the match outcome with tournament victory and lack explicit edge-case handling. Polymarket provides granular, operationally clear criteria including cancellation, forfeit, and delay thresholds.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's market is more defensible and trader-friendly due to explicit edge-case rules. On Kalshi, seek clarification on whether the market resolves on the match outcome or tournament outcome. If trading both, assume Polymarket's logic as the operational standard and flag any Kalshi settlement that diverges from it.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either M80 or 100 Thieves wins the North America League Kickoff 2026. Wording is ambiguous: does not clearly specify whether resolution is based on the match outcome or tournament victory. No explicit handling of cancellations, forfeits, ties, or delays. Key quote: 'If 100 Thieves wins the North America League Kickoff 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If M80 wins the North America League Kickoff 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Resolves to M80 or 100 Thieves based on match winner. Explicitly resolves 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days without a winner, or pre-match forfeits/walkovers. Resolves to the winning team if match begins but is not completed due to opponent forfeiture or disqualification. Primary source is Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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