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Rainbow Six Siege: INTZ vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of INTZ vs Lucky Five?

Volume:
$7,552

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 6:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

INTZ

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,798
N/A
N/A
$2,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lucky Five

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,442
N/A
N/A
$1,125
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market concerns the outcome of a single Rainbow Six Siege match between INTZ and Lucky Five in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage. Bettors are predicting which team will win the best-of-one match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines 'Yes' as either team winning, making it unclear how to interpret the market. Polymarket clearly defines separate outcomes for each team.Hero tip: Avoid taking positions on Kalshi if you want to bet on a specific team winning. Focus on Polymarket for a clearer binary outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to INTZ if INTZ wins, Lucky Five if Lucky Five wins, and 50-50 for a cancellation or tie. "This market will resolve to "INTZ" if INTZ win the match against Lucky Five."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins the match. "If Lucky Five wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If INTZ wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between INTZ and Lucky Five in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "INTZ" if INTZ win the match against Lucky Five. This market will resolve to "Lucky Five" if Lucky Five win the match against INTZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Lucky Five wins the South America League Stage 2 2026: Lucky Five vs. INTZ R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If INTZ wins the South America League Stage 2 2026: Lucky Five vs. INTZ R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Rainbow Six Siege match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $7,552, with $7,490 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the probability lies for a win by either team in the INTZ vs Lucky Five match. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities from each platform, providing a comprehensive overview of the market’s expectations for this event. It’s a central place to monitor the evolving predictions surrounding the Rainbow Six Siege match.

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This market’s odds may differ from sportsbooks due to varying information access, differing risk assessments, and the incentive structure of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently based on new information as it becomes available, compared to sportsbook odds which can be slower to adjust.