TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Rainbow Six Siege: Heretics vs Virtus.pro (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Heretics vs Virtus.pro?

Volume:
$3,038

Over 4.5 maps

 - Kalshi

Over 4.5 maps - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 4.5 maps

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$673
N/A
N/A
$669
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 maps

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$587
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a Rainbow Six Siege match between Heretics and Virtus.pro in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets aim to predict which team will win the best-of-one match, with specific rules for cancellations, postponements, and forfeits.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market is for a League of Legends match, while the Polymarket market is for a Rainbow Six Siege match. They are unrelated events.Hero tip: Do not trade these markets together or assume any correlation. The Kalshi market is irrelevant to the Polymarket event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Focuses on the Rainbow Six Siege match between Heretics and Virtus.pro, resolving based on the match winner, with rules for cancellations and postponements. "This market will resolve to "Heretics" if Heretics win the match against Virtus.pro."
  • Kalshi: Concerns a League of Legends match between Movistar KOI Fénix and Los Heretics, resolving based on the number of maps played. "If over 3.5 maps are played in the LES 2026: Movistar KOI Fénix vs. Los Heretics (OLD) League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Heretics and Virtus.pro in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Heretics" if Heretics win the match against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against Heretics. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the total number of maps played in the LES 2026 match between Movistar KOI Fénix and Los Heretics (OLD). If more than 3.5 maps are played, the Over 3.5 maps market resolves to Yes. If more than 4.5 maps are played, the Over 4.5 maps market resolves to Yes. Postponements, cancellations, or forfeitures before play begins result in resolution at the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Rainbow Six Siege match between Heretics and Virtus.pro. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one outcome, with a combined volume of $3,038. This allows for a cross-platform comparison of sentiment regarding the match’s result. The current market price reflects the aggregated predictions of traders on both Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a comprehensive view of expectations for the Rainbow Six Siege match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than a single sportsbook's assessment. The 24-hour volume for this market is $3,038, indicating active trading and evolving predictions.