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Rainbow Six Siege: Heretics vs Geekay Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Heretics vs Geekay Esports?

Volume:
$6,722

Geekay Esports

 - Kalshi

Geekay Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 12:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Geekay Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,804
N/A
N/A
$2,532
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Heretics

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,160
N/A
N/A
$1,842
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Heretics and Geekay Esports as part of the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage. The market asks which team will win the match, with a 50-50 resolution in the event of a cancellation, tie, or specific forfeiture scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic regarding wins due to forfeiture or disqualification. Polymarket explicitly resolves to the winning team in such cases, while Kalshi's phrasing is less clear.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket's resolution criteria, as it directly addresses the scenario of a win via forfeit/disqualification. Be aware that Kalshi's wording could lead to ambiguity in these situations.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: A win due to forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover resolves to the team who wins. "If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins."
  • Kalshi: Resolution is tied to a team 'winning' the match, implying a completed match. "If Heretics wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Heretics and Geekay Esports in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Heretics" if Heretics win the match against Geekay Esports. This market will resolve to "Geekay Esports" if Geekay Esports win the match against Heretics. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Geekay Esports wins the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: Geekay Esports vs. Heretics R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Heretics wins the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: Geekay Esports vs. Heretics R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by user predictions and real-money incentives. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. The current volume of $6,722 indicates active trading, suggesting a dynamic assessment of the likely result of the Rainbow Six Siege match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs for price discovery. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to varying interpretations of the same information. Additionally, the 24-hour volume, currently at $5,865, can fluctuate independently on each platform, influencing price movements. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the Rainbow Six Siege match outcome.