TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Rainbow Six Siege match between Heretics and G2 Esports in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A, scheduled for April 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. The match is a best-of-one (BO1) format, and markets across platforms are betting on which team will win this specific match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (G2 wins OR Heretics wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and non-functional as a prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi's market structure entirely due to the logical flaw. Rely exclusively on Polymarket's binary resolution framework. Ensure the match is actually played and completed; if it is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, ends in a tie, or results in a forfeit/disqualification before play begins, Polymarket resolves to 50-50. Confirm final outcome via Liquipedia or credible video evidence within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market states: 'If G2 Esports wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Heretics wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves to Yes regardless of actual match outcome, rendering it non-functional.Polymarket:
Clear binary resolution: resolves to 'Heretics' if Heretics win, or 'G2 Esports' if G2 Esports win. Explicit edge case handling: cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, and pre-match forfeits resolve to 50-50. In-match forfeits/disqualifications resolve to the winning team. Primary source is Liquipedia; credible reporting with video evidence acceptable if Liquipedia unavailable within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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