TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Geekay Esports and Team Secret in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B, scheduled for April 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The winner of the match determines the market resolution, with specific handling for cancellations, ties, forfeits, and delays.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (Team Secret win and Geekay Esports win) resolve to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure is broken and should not be traded. Polymarket is the only platform with valid resolution logic for this event. If forced to choose, use Polymarket's framework: Geekay Esports win resolves to Geekay Esports, Team Secret win resolves to Team Secret, with 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Logically incoherent tautology. Both conditions (Team Secret wins OR Geekay Esports wins) resolve to Yes. No valid path to No resolution exists. Quote: 'If Team Secret wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Geekay Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Clear binary outcome logic. Geekay Esports win resolves to Geekay Esports, Team Secret win resolves to Team Secret. Explicit edge case handling: cancellations, ties, and delays beyond 7 days resolve to 50-50. Forfeits before match start resolve to 50-50. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Geekay Esports if Geekay Esports win the match...This market will resolve to Team Secret if Team Secret win the match...If the match is canceled...this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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