TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Fury and HL tauri Esports in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 17 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fury" if Fury win the match against HL tauri Esports. This market will resolve to "HL tauri Esports" if HL tauri Esports win the match against Fury. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Fury and HL tauri Esports in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 17 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fury" if Fury win the match against HL tauri Esports. This market will resolve to "HL tauri Esports" if HL tauri Esports win the match against Fury. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. Sportsbooks may adjust lines based on betting volume and liability, whereas this market reflects pure supply and demand for outcome shares. For esports events like this match, prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper pricing because traders have direct financial exposure to accuracy, though sportsbook odds remain a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of outcome shares through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying pressure raises the odds and selling pressure lowers them. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market reflects strong confidence in one outcome, with pricing updated in real time as new trades execute. Each share represents a claim on the event's final result, and the price you see represents the collective assessment of all active traders at that moment. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the Asia Pacific League Asia Stage 1 Group Stage. The winner of the best-of-one Rainbow Six Siege encounter will determine which side of this market settles in the money. Resolution timing depends on when the official result is published and validated, typically shortly after the match concludes. Traders should monitor league announcements and official esports channels for final confirmation.
Team roster changes, recent performance in prior league matches, and player form leading up to the event are key signals that could shift this market. Injury announcements or lineup adjustments for either squad may trigger significant price movement. Pre-match analysis from esports commentators and community sentiment on social media can also influence trader positioning. Additionally, any official league communications about scheduling or format changes could impact confidence in the outcome. Traders typically watch for scrimmage results and team practice updates in the days immediately before the match.