TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Rainbow Six Siege: Fury vs Dolphin Esport (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

Rainbow Six Siege: Fury vs Dolphin Esport (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 Group Stage

Volume:
$2,743

Fury

 - Kalshi

Fury - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 10:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fury

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,567
N/A
N/A
$1,409
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dolphin Esport

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,029
N/A
N/A
$764
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a Rainbow Six Siege match between Fury and Dolphin Esport in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 Group Stage, scheduled for September 4, 2026. The market resolves based on the outcome of the best-of-one match, with specific rules for cancellations, postponements, and incomplete matches.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and yes/no outcome (Kalshi)Hero tip: Trade cautiously across platforms; Polymarket protects against ties/cancellations while Kalshi only resolves for outright wins

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team names (Fury/Dolphin Esport) with 50-50 for ties/cancellations/postponements beyond deadline
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins, effectively creating a binary market without tie/cancellation protection
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Fury and Dolphin Esport in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fury" if Fury win the match against Dolphin Esport. This market will resolve to " Dolphin Esport" if Dolphin Esport win the match against Fury. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between Dolphin Esport and Fury, scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 6:00 AM EDT. If Dolphin Esport wins, the 'Dolphin Esport' market resolves to Yes, and the 'Fury' market resolves to No. Conversely, if Fury wins, the 'Fury' market resolves to Yes, and the 'Dolphin Esport' market resolves to No. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Fury vs Dolphin Esport match market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how trader sentiment and volume evolve as the event approaches. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $2,743, and 24-hour volume of $2,743 across platforms. This centralized view helps users monitor shifts in market expectations and compare activity levels, providing a clear snapshot of collective insight into this competitive Rainbow Six Siege matchup.