TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Four Angry Men and My Queen in the CN League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Four Angry Men" if Four Angry Men win the match against My Queen. This market will resolve to "My Queen" if My Queen win the match against Four Angry Men. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Four Angry Men and My Queen in the CN League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Four Angry Men" if Four Angry Men win the match against My Queen. This market will resolve to "My Queen" if My Queen win the match against Four Angry Men. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants willing to stake real money on the outcome, which can sometimes reveal edges that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where sharp traders see value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate confidence of all participants; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price discovery, making the market more efficient at capturing the true probability of each team advancing in the CN League Stage 1 Group Stage.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect which team wins the best-of-three series. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations, team form, roster changes, or any other factors they believe will influence the final result.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the match takes place. Roster announcements, player injuries, or lineup changes for either team would likely trigger immediate repricing. Recent tournament results, scrim performance, or coaching adjustments could also sway trader sentiment. Meta shifts in the game itself or patch updates affecting weapon balance and map strategy may influence how traders assess each team's competitive edge. Media reports, expert analysis, and community discussion around team form and matchup dynamics will continue to shape market expectations right up until the match begins.