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Rainbow Six Siege: For Fun Esports vs Spacestation Gaming (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of For Fun Esports vs Spacestation Gaming?

Volume:
$7,067

Spacestation Gaming

 - Kalshi

Spacestation Gaming - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 3:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spacestation Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,596
N/A
N/A
$3,248
Settled
Yes
kalshi

For Fun Esports

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,907
N/A
N/A
$2,617
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between For Fun Esports and Spacestation Gaming as part of the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets ask who will win the match, with specific rules for cancellations, postponements, and forfeits.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, while Polymarket requires specifying the winning team.Hero tip: Consider the potential for discrepancies between platforms. Kalshi's broad 'Yes' resolution could lead to different outcomes than Polymarket's team-specific resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (For Fun Esports or Spacestation Gaming). Resolves 50-50 for cancellations or ties. "This market will resolve to 'For Fun Esports' if For Fun Esports win the match against Spacestation Gaming."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Spacestation Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If For Fun Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between For Fun Esports and Spacestation Gaming in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "For Fun Esports" if For Fun Esports win the match against Spacestation Gaming. This market will resolve to "Spacestation Gaming" if Spacestation Gaming win the match against For Fun Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Spacestation Gaming or For Fun Esports wins the specified Rainbow Six Siege match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the governing body's official result.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome of the Rainbow Six Siege match. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate information and opinions from a wider range of sources. It’s also common to see prediction markets move more quickly to reflect new information or changing sentiment surrounding the event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader participation, liquidity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs for price discovery. Polymarket might attract a different user base than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions influencing the price. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform – currently $7,067 across both – can impact price stability and responsiveness to new information. These factors contribute to the possibility of observing different probabilities for the same Rainbow Six Siege match outcome across the two venues.