TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Rainbow Six Siege: For Fun Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage
polymarket

Who will win For Fun Esports vs Five Fears?

Volume:
$7,966

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 12:45 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,966
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between For Fun Esports and Five Fears in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "For Fun Esports" if For Fun Esports win the match against Five Fears. This market will resolve to "Five Fears" if Five Fears win the match against For Fun Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between For Fun Esports and Five Fears in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "For Fun Esports" if For Fun Esports win the match against Five Fears. This market will resolve to "Five Fears" if Five Fears win the match against For Fun Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the For Fun Esports vs Five Fears match displays real-time odds and price movements as traders buy and sell shares tied to the outcome. You can monitor how the market's implied probability shifts throughout the trading period, reflecting evolving sentiment about which team will win this best-of-one Rainbow Six Siege matchup in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage. The interface also shows historical price data, allowing you to review how confidence has changed over time as new information emerges.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, then adjust them to balance action. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate the collective judgment of many independent traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market's odds reflect what thousands of participants believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges from professional bookmaker estimates.

On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate confidence of all active traders. As new information surfaces—team roster changes, recent performance, or player injuries—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to developments leading up to the match.

This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the Rainbow Six Siege match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the best-of-one contest during the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match ends, pending confirmation from official league records or broadcast coverage. Traders holding shares in the winning team's outcome receive their payout once the result is finalized.

Several factors could shift trader sentiment before the match. Roster announcements or unexpected player absences can significantly impact perceived team strength. Recent tournament results and head-to-head records between the teams often influence confidence levels. Patch updates to Rainbow Six Siege itself may alter the competitive landscape or favor certain strategies. Pre-match interviews, coaching changes, or public statements from team leadership can also sway the market. As the match date approaches, any credible reporting on team form or preparation will likely trigger price adjustments.