TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Virtus.pro (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A
kalshi
polymarket

Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Virtus.pro (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A

Volume:
$3,876

Virtus.pro

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virtus.pro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$957
N/A
N/A
$932
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fnatic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,986
N/A
N/A
$1,926
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and Virtus.pro in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A, scheduled for March 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The match is a best-of-one (BO1) format, and prediction markets are settling on which team wins the head-to-head competition.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria is logically contradictory and unresolvable: both 'Virtus.pro wins' and 'Fnatic wins' resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish outcomes. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution (Fnatic vs Virtus.pro) with well-defined tie/cancellation rules, making it the only resolvable market in this group.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi entirely — its market cannot resolve correctly because both possible match outcomes trigger YES. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary logic: Fnatic wins → Fnatic, Virtus.pro wins → Virtus.pro, with 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or forfeits before match start.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction that renders the market unresolvable. Both resolution criteria state 'the market resolves to Yes' — 'If Virtus.pro wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Fnatic wins... then the market resolves to Yes' — meaning every possible match outcome produces YES, with no NO outcome defined.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Provides clear binary resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes: 'This market will resolve to Fnatic if Fnatic win the match' OR 'This market will resolve to Virtus.pro if Virtus.pro win the match,' with explicit 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeits. Source is Liquipedia with 2-hour credible-reporting fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.