TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Virtus.pro (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A
Volume:
$3,876
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and Virtus.pro in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A, scheduled for March 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The match is a best-of-one (BO1) format, and prediction markets are settling on which team wins the head-to-head competition.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria is logically contradictory and unresolvable: both 'Virtus.pro wins' and 'Fnatic wins' resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish outcomes. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution (Fnatic vs Virtus.pro) with well-defined tie/cancellation rules, making it the only resolvable market in this group.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely — its market cannot resolve correctly because both possible match outcomes trigger YES. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary logic: Fnatic wins → Fnatic, Virtus.pro wins → Virtus.pro, with 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or forfeits before match start.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction that renders the market unresolvable. Both resolution criteria state 'the market resolves to Yes' — 'If Virtus.pro wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Fnatic wins... then the market resolves to Yes' — meaning every possible match outcome produces YES, with no NO outcome defined.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Provides clear binary resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes: 'This market will resolve to Fnatic if Fnatic win the match' OR 'This market will resolve to Virtus.pro if Virtus.pro win the match,' with explicit 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeits. Source is Liquipedia with 2-hour credible-reporting fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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