TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-one Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and Shifters in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A, originally scheduled for April 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both reference the same underlying match but with different resolution structures and outcome definitions.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Outcome definition mismatch between platforms. Polymarket uses a binary team-name resolution (Fnatic vs Shifters), while Kalshi uses a Yes/Yes structure that does not clearly define a No outcome or distinguish between the two teams.Hero Tip:
Treat these as separate markets with different payoff structures. Polymarket allows directional bets on either team; Kalshi's structure is unclear and may resolve Yes regardless of which team wins. Seek clarification from Kalshi on the No outcome condition before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary resolution: resolves to 'Fnatic' if Fnatic wins, 'Shifters' if Shifters wins. Resolves 50-50 on cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days without winner, or pre-match forfeit/disqualification. Resolves to winning team if match begins but is not completed due to opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover. Source: Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.Kalshi:
Resolves to Yes if Fnatic wins the match OR if Shifters wins the match. No explicit No outcome or tie/cancellation condition is stated. This creates ambiguity: does the market resolve No on cancellation/tie, or is there no No outcome?
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.