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404,175

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Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fnatic vs Rebels Gaming?

Volume:
$99,333

Fnatic

 - Kalshi

Fnatic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 5:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fnatic

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,107
N/A
N/A
$26,463
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rebels Gaming

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,811
N/A
N/A
$17,187
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and Rebels Gaming in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets aim to predict which team will win the best-of-one match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines both win conditions as a positive resolution ('Yes'), creating ambiguity and potentially misleading market behavior.Hero tip: Consider focusing your trading activity on Polymarket for a more straightforward and accurate representation of the match outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Fnatic or Rebels Gaming). A 50-50 resolution occurs for cancellations or ties. "This market will resolve to \"Fnatic\" if Fnatic win the match against Rebels Gaming."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Fnatic or Rebels Gaming wins. "If Rebels Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fnatic wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and Rebels Gaming in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Rebels Gaming. This market will resolve to "Rebels Gaming" if Rebels Gaming win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the named Rainbow Six Siege match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play, markets resolve to the fair market price. If play begins and the match is later forfeited, resolution follows the governing body's official result.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. The current volume of $99,333 suggests significant interest in this Rainbow Six Siege match, and the implied probabilities may offer a different perspective than conventional betting options.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge for several reasons. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differences in liquidity and order flow can create temporary discrepancies. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; Polymarket has seen volume of $99,333, while Kalshi contributes to the overall consensus. These factors combine to create potentially different implied probabilities for the same event, even though both platforms are tracking the same Rainbow Six Siege match.

Several signals could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Fnatic or Rebels Gaming could impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, significant bets placed on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and influence prices. The overall volume of $99,333 indicates strong interest, and any substantial shifts in trading volume could signal changing expectations regarding the outcome of the Rainbow Six Siege match.