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402,751

Markets across

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2,632

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5

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Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fnatic vs G2 Esports?

Volume:
$36,525

G2 Esports

 - Kalshi

G2 Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 3:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

G2 Esports

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,400
N/A
N/A
$10,658
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fnatic

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,721
N/A
N/A
$8,748
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market concerns the outcome of a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and G2 Esports in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage. The market resolves to either Fnatic winning, G2 Esports winning, or a 50-50 split in the event of a cancellation, tie, or specific forfeiture scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Discrepancy in how forfeits/disqualifications are resolved. Polymarket awards the win, while Kalshi splits the resolution.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a forfeit/disqualification when taking a position. The differing resolutions create a risk/reward asymmetry.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If a team wins due to opponent forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover *during* the match, the market resolves to the winning team. "If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins."
  • Kalshi: If a team forfeits, is disqualified, or withdraws *before* the match starts, the market resolves to 50-50. "If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and G2 Esports in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the designated Rainbow Six Siege match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Rainbow Six Siege match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a leading probability for a specific result, though opinions vary. The total volume traded across both venues is $36,525, with $32,409 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about which team will win this best-of-one match in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, and see how those beliefs compare to the broader market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk, while prediction markets aggregate individual predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant information isn’t yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. This market’s implied probabilities may diverge from those offered by sportsbooks due to differing information access and analytical approaches.