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Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fnatic vs Falcons Esport?

Volume:
$27,143

Falcons Esport

 - Kalshi

Falcons Esport - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 1:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Falcons Esport

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,931
N/A
N/A
$8,948
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fnatic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,306
N/A
N/A
$6,145
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and Falcons Esport in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets ask who will win the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is cancelled, tied, or if a forfeit occurs before the start of the match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' outcome for either team winning, creating ambiguity. Polymarket clearly defines separate outcomes for each team.Hero tip: Polymarket's outcome definitions are more precise. Be cautious interpreting Kalshi's 'Yes' outcome – it may not align with a straightforward win/loss prediction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to 'Fnatic' if Fnatic wins, and 'Falcons Esport' if Falcons Esport wins. This provides a clear, mutually exclusive outcome definition. "If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Fnatic or Falcons Esport wins. This is ambiguous as it doesn't specify separate outcomes for each team. "If Falcons Esport wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fnatic wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and Falcons Esport in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Falcons Esport. This market will resolve to "Falcons Esport" if Falcons Esport win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Falcons Esport or Fnatic wins the specified Rainbow Six Siege match through league victory conditions. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play starts, the market resolves at fair price. If play begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the governing body's official result.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and Falcons Esport. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a probability of 32 percent for a specific outcome, with a total volume of $27,143. This allows traders to see how the market is interpreting the likelihood of each team winning, aggregating insights from both venues. The 24-hour volume is $24,845, showing recent trading activity in this market. This provides a dynamic view of sentiment around the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets not available in this market, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two. This market offers a unique perspective on the event’s outcome.