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405,232

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Rainbow Six Siege: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial Esports (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Fluxo W7M vs Imperial Esports?

Volume:
$10,096

Fluxo W7M

 - Kalshi

Fluxo W7M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fluxo W7M

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,070
N/A
N/A
$2,473
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Imperial Esports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,648
N/A
N/A
$4,383
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Fluxo W7M and Imperial Esports in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets ask who will win the match, with provisions for cancellations, postponements, and forfeits.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, while Polymarket differentiates between the two teams.Hero tip: Be cautious when trading on Kalshi, as it doesn't allow for a bet against either team winning. Polymarket offers a more standard 'who will win' market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Fluxo W7M or Imperial Esports) or 50-50 on cancellation/tie. "This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against Imperial Esports."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Fluxo W7M wins the South America League Stage 2 2026: Imperial Esports vs. Fluxo W7M R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Fluxo W7M and Imperial Esports in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against Imperial Esports. This market will resolve to "Imperial Esports" if Imperial Esports win the match against Fluxo W7M. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Imperial Esports wins the South America League Stage 2 2026: Imperial Esports vs. Fluxo W7M R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fluxo W7M wins the South America League Stage 2 2026: Imperial Esports vs. Fluxo W7M R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes for this match, and can reveal where the crowd believes value lies compared to established bookmakers.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform—currently $10,096 overall—impacts how efficiently information is incorporated into the price. Differences in user risk appetite and interpretation of available information regarding the Fluxo W7M versus Imperial Esports match can also contribute to price discrepancies. These variations present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences across venues.