TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between FaZe Clan and Imperial Esports in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets ask who will win the match, with provisions for cancellations, postponements, and forfeits.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between FaZe Clan and Imperial Esports in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe Clan" if FaZe Clan win the match against Imperial Esports. This market will resolve to "Imperial Esports" if Imperial Esports win the match against FaZe Clan. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on whether Imperial Esports or FaZe Clan wins the South America League Stage 2 2026 on the day of the scheduled match. If Imperial Esports wins their league stage, the market resolves to Yes for Imperial Esports. If FaZe Clan wins their league stage, the market resolves to Yes for FaZe Clan. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any action, the market resolves to the fair market price. If play starts and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to a variety of factors, including variations in user base, trading fees, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with potentially varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Rainbow Six Siege match. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform – currently $3,772 in 24-hour volume – can influence price discovery. These differences in market dynamics can lead to temporary price discrepancies, even when both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.