TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Falcons Esport and Twisted Minds in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B, scheduled for April 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. The outcome is determined by which team wins the best-of-one match, with resolution sourced from official Liquipedia records.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (Twisted Minds win and Falcons Esport win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this is corrected. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Use Polymarket as your reference framework. Confirm the actual match result on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page) within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both conditions resolve to Yes: 'If Twisted Minds wins...then Yes' AND 'If Falcons Esport wins...then Yes'. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of outcome, violating basic binary market logic.Polymarket:
Clear mutually exclusive outcomes: Falcons Esport win = 'Falcons Esport', Twisted Minds win = 'Twisted Minds'. Cancellation, tie, delay >7 days, or pre-match forfeit = 50-50. Mid-match forfeit/disqualification = winner advances. Source: Liquipedia within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting with video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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