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406,422

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Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming?

Volume:
$57,779

Rebels Gaming

 - Kalshi

Rebels Gaming - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 6:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Rebels Gaming

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,554
N/A
N/A
$19,668
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Falcons Esport

View
0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,529
N/A
N/A
$16,408
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Falcons Esport and Rebels Gaming in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets aim to predict which team will win the best-of-one match, with specific rules for cancellations, postponements, and forfeits.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' outcome for either team winning, while Polymarket specifies the winning team directly, creating ambiguity.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket as the more standard definition of the outcome. Be aware that Kalshi's 'Yes' outcome could be interpreted differently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Falcons Esport or Rebels Gaming). "If Falcons Esport win the match against Rebels Gaming. This market will resolve to "Falcons Esport".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Rebels Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Falcons Esport wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Falcons Esport and Rebels Gaming in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Falcons Esport" if Falcons Esport win the match against Rebels Gaming. This market will resolve to "Rebels Gaming" if Rebels Gaming win the match against Falcons Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the designated Rainbow Six Siege match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes for the Rainbow Six Siege match between Falcons Esport and Rebels Gaming. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong probability of one team winning, with Polymarket showing an 84% chance for a specific result. Total volume for this market is $57,779, and the 24-hour volume is $56,085. This allows traders to express their predictions and potentially profit from correctly anticipating the result of the Rainbow Six Siege match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. Examining both prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds provides a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome for the Rainbow Six Siege match.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Rainbow Six Siege match can differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price fluctuations. Furthermore, the specific market design and fee structures on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the resulting probabilities. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a win for Falcons Esport, while Kalshi leans toward Rebels Gaming.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team roster changes, or strategic shifts could significantly impact perceived probabilities. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early round wins or dominant plays by individual players, will also likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements from the league or the teams involved could also move the market. Monitoring social media and esports news sources will be key to understanding potential catalysts.