TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 3:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Daystar and Elevate in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 10 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Daystar" if Daystar win the match against Elevate. This market will resolve to "Elevate" if Elevate win the match against Daystar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines for esports matches like Daystar versus Elevate. Prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader conviction and may reflect sharper or more niche analysis than mainstream sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically apply wider margins and may have less liquidity in Asia Pacific League Asia Stage 1 Group Stage markets. Comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major esports sportsbook lines can reveal where professional bettors and prediction market participants disagree on Daystar and Elevate's relative strength.
On Polymarket, the Daystar versus Elevate match is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects cumulative trading activity and participant conviction. As the match approaches Jun 10, 2026, price discovery continues based on team roster updates, recent performance, and strategic adjustments. Polymarket's transparent order flow means you can observe how new information—such as player availability or meta shifts—moves the probability in real time for this Asia Pacific League Asia Stage 1 Group Stage bout.
The Rainbow Six Siege: Daystar vs Elevate (BO1) market resolves on Jun 10, 2026 following the completion of the match. Resolution is determined by the official result recorded by the Asia Pacific League Asia organizers. Since this is a best-of-one format, there is no series to track—only a single map outcome decides the winner. Once the match concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles accordingly on Polymarket.
Several factors could shift market odds for Daystar versus Elevate before Jun 10, 2026. Roster announcements or player substitutions would signal tactical changes. Recent tournament results and map pool performance from both teams influence trader confidence. Meta shifts in Rainbow Six Siege—such as operator bans or balance patches—can favor one team's playstyle. Injury or availability updates for key players matter significantly in a best-of-one format where depth is limited. Community analysis and expert predictions may also sway Polymarket participants as match day approaches.