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406,019
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Closed: Sep 7, 7:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This prediction market concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Circular Spheres and ENTERPRISE Esports as part of the Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 2 Group Stage. The market asks who will win the match, with potential resolution to either team or a 50-50 split in specific circumstances.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Circular Spheres and ENTERPRISE Esports in the Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Circular Spheres" if Circular Spheres win the match against ENTERPRISE Esports. This market will resolve to "ENTERPRISE Esports" if ENTERPRISE Esports win the match against Circular Spheres. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 7, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
If ENTERPRISE Esports wins the Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 2 2026: ENTERPRISE Esports vs. Circular Spheres R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Circular Spheres wins the Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 2 2026: ENTERPRISE Esports vs. Circular Spheres R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, leading to a “wisdom of the crowd” effect. Sportsbooks may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception, whereas prediction markets are driven by financial incentives. While sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, prediction markets aim to accurately represent the probability of an event occurring. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome of this market.