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404,028

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Rainbow Six Siege: Chiefs Esports Club vs TYLOO (BO1) - Esports World Cup Play-In Group A
polymarket
kalshi

Rainbow Six Siege: Chiefs Esports Club vs TYLOO (BO1) - Esports World Cup Play-In Group A

Volume:
$28,500

TYLOO

 - Kalshi

TYLOO - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 11:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

TYLOO

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,620
N/A
N/A
$8,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiefs Esports Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,275
N/A
N/A
$11,825
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,605
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a Rainbow Six Siege match between Chiefs Esports Club and TYLOO in the Esports World Cup Play-In Group A. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match, with specific rules for cancellations, ties, and forfeitures.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between team-specific resolution (Polymarket) and binary win detection (Kalshi)Hero tip: Do not arbitrage between these markets — Polymarket requires precise team identification while Kalshi treats any winner as Yes. Focus trading on Polymarket for team-specific outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Chiefs Esports Club, TYLOO, or 50-50 for cancellations/ties/forfeitures before start. Uses Liquipedia as primary source with fallback to credible reporting.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins (binary outcome), no cancellation/draw handling specified. Appears to ignore match structure entirely.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Chiefs Esports Club and TYLOO in the Esports World Cup Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for August 4 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Chiefs Esports Club" if Chiefs Esports Club win the match against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against Chiefs Esports Club. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team, TYLOO or Chiefs Esports Club, wins the Esports World Cup 2026. If the specified match occurs and the winning team in the tournament was one of these two teams at the time of the match, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited prior to any play, it resolves to the fair market price. If play begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or tournament entities.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Chiefs vs TYLOO match outcome market aggregates real-time probabilities and volume across platforms, letting you see how traders view the upcoming Rainbow Six Siege clash. It tracks the consensus view from multiple venues, showing the current implied chances for each team to win based on collective user bets. This central view updates continuously, reflecting shifts in sentiment as the match nears. With total volume at $28,500 and 24-hour volume of $16,068, the dashboard gives a clear snapshot of market dynamics for this key Play-In Group A contest at the Esports World Cup.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it resolves. Key roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, and recent tournament performance for either team often influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting strategic advantages or tactical changes can also create momentum swings. Additionally, spikes in trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi—especially if driven by large bets—may signal shifting market confidence. As the match date approaches, any last-minute coaching decisions or map picks could further adjust implied chances.