TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Rainbow Six Siege: CAG by VARREL vs Fnatic (BO1) - Esports World Cup Play-In Group B
polymarket
kalshi

Rainbow Six Siege: CAG by VARREL vs Fnatic (BO1) - Esports World Cup Play-In Group B

Volume:
$24,033

Fnatic

 - Kalshi

Fnatic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 9:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fnatic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,817
N/A
N/A
$8,756
Settled
Yes
kalshi

CAG by VARREL

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,961
N/A
N/A
$4,644
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group pertains to a Rainbow Six Siege match between CAG by VARREL and Fnatic in the Esports World Cup Play-In Group B. The market will resolve based on the outcome of this best-of-one match, with specific rules for cancellations, ties, and other edge cases.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental divergence in settlement logic: Polymarket has detailed edge-case handling while Kalshi simply resolves to Yes for any win by either team, ignoring cancellations, ties, and forfeitures.Hero tip: Prefer Polymarket for this match due to its comprehensive edge-case handling. Kalshi's market will incorrectly resolve to Yes even in scenarios like match cancellations or ties, creating significant risk for traders.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name if that team wins; 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or forfeit/disqualification before start. Forfeits/disqualifications during play resolve to the winning team.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the match, with no explicit handling for cancellations, ties, delays, or forfeit/disqualification scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between CAG by VARREL and Fnatic in the Esports World Cup Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for August 4 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "CAG by VARREL" if CAG by VARREL win the match against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against CAG by VARREL. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the Esports World Cup 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between Fnatic and CAG by VARREL, scheduled for August 4, 2026, at 8:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any play, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the CAG vs Fnatic match market aggregates data across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence. It tracks the latest probabilities, volume of $24,033, and 24-hour volume of $16,585 from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. Users can monitor how trader sentiment shifts as the Esports World Cup Play-In Group B approaches, giving a clear view of where the market stands for this competitive Rainbow Six Siege BO1 matchup.