TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 12:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Arcade Esports and Chiefs Esports Club in the Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 29 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Arcade Esports" if Arcade Esports win the match against Chiefs Esports Club. This market will resolve to "Chiefs Esports Club" if Chiefs Esports Club win the match against Arcade Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Arcade Esports and Chiefs Esports Club in the Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 29 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Arcade Esports" if Arcade Esports win the match against Chiefs Esports Club. This market will resolve to "Chiefs Esports Club" if Chiefs Esports Club win the match against Arcade Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. For esports matchups like this one, sportsbooks may emphasize historical team records and roster changes, whereas prediction markets can rapidly incorporate breaking news, player form, or community sentiment. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers or decentralized traders hold stronger conviction about the likely result.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent each possible outcome, with the price of each share reflecting its implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price reflects the collective assessment of all participants; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. This continuous price discovery mechanism means the market adapts quickly to roster announcements, recent match results, or any other factors that might influence the Rainbow Six Siege matchup.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result reported by the Asia Pacific League Oceania organizers or recognized esports news outlets. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate with any new developments or analysis that might shift expectations about either team's performance.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Roster changes or player substitutions announced by either organization would likely trigger significant repricing. Recent scrim results, performance in prior league matches, or coaching adjustments could sway trader sentiment. Technical patches or map pool updates to Rainbow Six Siege might favor one team's playstyle over the other. Injury reports or player availability announcements, streaming commentary from respected analysts, and community discussion on esports forums can all influence how traders reassess the matchup's likely outcome.