TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 12:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between 100 Thieves and Five Fears in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 25 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Five Fears. This market will resolve to "Five Fears" if Five Fears win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between 100 Thieves and Five Fears in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 25 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Five Fears. This market will resolve to "Five Fears" if Five Fears win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like Polymarket price outcomes based on trader consensus and real money at stake. This market may show sharper or softer odds than major sportsbooks depending on where informed traders believe the true probability lies. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in factors that oddsmakers have overlooked or vice versa.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on the event outcome, and the price reflects the current ratio of shares held. As more traders back one team, that outcome's price rises and the opposing team's price falls. The market has accumulated $8,083 in total trading activity, indicating the level of conviction and participation among predictors tracking this Rainbow Six Siege matchup.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on which team wins the best-of-one series in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage. No ambiguity typically surrounds Rainbow Six Siege match results, as the winner is determined by in-game performance and official league records. Resolution happens automatically once the event result is confirmed and posted by the league.
Team roster changes, player injuries, or last-minute lineup announcements can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent tournament results and head-to-head records between 100 Thieves and Five Fears may influence how predictors assess win probability. Scrim results or public statements from team coaches and players sometimes leak before the match and sway the odds. In-game meta shifts or map pool updates in Rainbow Six Siege can also favor one team's playstyle, prompting traders to adjust their positions ahead of kickoff.