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Rainbow Six Siege: 100 Thieves vs DarkZero Esports (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of 100 Thieves vs DarkZero Esports?

Volume:
$18,142

DarkZero Esports

 - Kalshi

DarkZero Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 5:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

DarkZero Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,006
N/A
N/A
$7,151
Settled
Yes
kalshi

100 Thieves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,442
N/A
N/A
$5,294
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market concerns the outcome of a single Rainbow Six Siege match between 100 Thieves and DarkZero Esports in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split in cases of cancellation, ties, or specific forfeiture scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic incorrectly resolves to 'Yes' for either team winning, while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as its resolution logic aligns with standard head-to-head match outcomes. Kalshi's 'Yes' for either outcome creates ambiguity and potential resolution issues.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (100 Thieves or DarkZero Esports). A forfeit *before* the match starts results in a 50-50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either 100 Thieves or DarkZero Esports wins. This creates ambiguity and doesn't distinguish between the two teams.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between 100 Thieves and DarkZero Esports in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against DarkZero Esports. This market will resolve to "DarkZero Esports" if DarkZero Esports win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If DarkZero Esports wins the North America League Stage 2 2026: DarkZero Esports vs. 100 Thieves R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If 100 Thieves wins the North America League Stage 2 2026: DarkZero Esports vs. 100 Thieves R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Rainbow Six Siege match between 100 Thieves and DarkZero Esports. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one outcome, with a combined volume of $18,142. This allows traders to see where the market is leaning and compare predictions with others. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues, providing a comprehensive overview of expectations for the match. It’s important to note that volume on this market is currently $16,810.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money betting and a broader range of information. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate factors like player form or unexpected news.