TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Rafael Jodar and Yunchaokete Bu, scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Rafael Jodar vs. Yunchaokete Bu match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Rafael Jodar and Yunchaokete Bu, scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Rafael Jodar vs. Yunchaokete Bu match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling their predictions. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome, they can express that view through their trades, causing the prediction market odds to diverge. It's common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential results of the Jodar vs. Bu boxing match.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official, final result of the Jodar vs. Bu boxing match as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The market will determine which boxer is officially declared the winner, or if the match ends in a draw. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, injuries, or changes in their condition would likely have a significant impact. Public statements from the fighters or their trainers, as well as expert analysis from boxing commentators, could also sway market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes in the venue or rules, could also cause the market to react. Increased media coverage or social media buzz surrounding the Jodar vs. Bu boxing match may also drive trading volume and price fluctuations.