TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player will win the third set of a specific tennis match at the 2026 US Open. It reflects the competitive performance of the two athletes in a high-stakes Grand Slam tournament. The outcome depends entirely on the players' skills, strategies, and conditions during that particular set.
The market resolves based on which player wins the third set in the Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis match at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur before any play due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, it resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, markets that can be settled based on completed play will resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, with the current implied probability reflecting collective expectations for each outcome. Market depth and recent trades determine the displayed price, and volume of $317 indicates overall interest. The system self-adjusts based on participant activity rather than external odds.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official match result, specifically the winner of set three, will determine the paying outcome. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond confirming the publicly recorded score.
Key player injuries, weather delays, or sudden form shifts leading up to the match could sway this market. Media interviews revealing strategic advantages, betting trends on Kalshi, and pre-match practice reports may also cause price swings. Any development altering the perceived likelihood of each player winning set three can shift trader sentiment and market odds.