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Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Games
kalshi

Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Games

Volume:
$43,174

Over 34.5 games

 - Kalshi

Over 34.5 games - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 11:21 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 34.5 games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,471
N/A
N/A
$24,542
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 39.5 games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,273
N/A
N/A
$1,103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 29.5 games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
$430
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

Two professional tennis players compete in the Round of 16 at the 2026 French Open Men's Singles tournament. The outcome will depend on the total number of games played throughout the entire match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of independent traders' beliefs. For the Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Games event, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook totals can reveal whether the crowd is pricing the match duration differently than professional oddsmakers expect.

On Kalshi, the Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Games market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal probability implied by the most recent trade. As new information emerges about player form, court conditions, or head-to-head history, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. Kalshi's binary structure means prices range from near-zero to near-100, with the spread between bid and ask indicating liquidity and conviction.

The Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Games market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual number of games played in the completed match between these two players. The market outcome will be finalized once the match concludes and the official result is confirmed. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any updates to ensure they understand the exact timing and conditions that will trigger market settlement.

Several factors could shift odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Games market. Recent performance trends, injury reports, or changes in player ranking or form could alter expectations about match duration. Court surface, weather conditions, and tournament context (best-of-three vs. best-of-five) all influence how many games are likely to be played. Head-to-head history and playing style matchups—such as whether one player typically dominates or if they tend to have competitive, lengthy rallies—are key catalysts. News about either player's fitness or mental state closer to the match date could also move the market.