TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 9:55 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional tennis players compete in the Round of 16 of a major tennis tournament, with focus on the outcome of the third set of their match.
The market is scheduled to resolve by May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the third set in the Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta match. The outcome hinges on which player wins the required number of games to claim the set according to professional tennis rules. Once the set concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles based on whether Jodar or his opponent prevails. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any potential delays or postponements that could affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could shift odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 outcome. First-set and second-set results will heavily influence market pricing, as momentum and player fatigue become clearer. Injury reports or mid-match fitness concerns about either player could trigger sharp moves. Court conditions, weather delays, and serve-and-volley performance in earlier sets all provide real-time signals. Player head-to-head tendencies and set-specific patterns may emerge as the match unfolds. Additionally, betting volume spikes and large trades on Kalshi can reflect informed positioning, moving the implied probability as traders react to unfolding match dynamics.