TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 11:18 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional tennis players compete in a quarterfinal match at the French Open, with focus on the outcome of the third set of their match.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 Winner market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability each player wins that specific set. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing implied probability. As match conditions, player form, and court dynamics evolve, the contract price adjusts to reflect new information, allowing traders to enter or exit positions based on their conviction about the set outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026 or shortly after the Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev match concludes, depending on when Set 3 is completed. The outcome is determined by the official result of the third set as recorded by the tournament or match officials. Once the set winner is confirmed, the market settles and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Several factors can shift odds for this Set 3 matchup: recent tournament performance and form of both players, head-to-head history on similar surfaces, injury reports or fitness concerns, court conditions and weather on match day, and momentum from Sets 1 and 2. Player confidence, fatigue levels, and tactical adjustments between sets also influence trader expectations. News about either player's recent matches, training updates, or psychological factors can trigger repricing as the market incorporates new information closer to match time.