TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Racing Louisville and Chicago, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is governed by standard soccer timing rules, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Racing Louisville vs Chicago professional NWSL soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026, based on the goal differential between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct primary rules define different winning margins: Racing Louisville must win by more than 2.5 goals, Racing Louisville must win by more than 1.5 goals, Chicago must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Chicago must win by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, has no official affiliation with the NWSL or any governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and detailed analysis. While sportsbooks set a fixed spread, prediction markets adjust continuously based on trading volume and new data. This can create opportunities when trader expectations diverge from the standard line, offering potentially better value for informed bettors.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game result and point differential, which is then matched to the contract terms. Traders need to watch for confirmed scores from reliable sports news sources.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant performance shifts can all move this market as they alter expectations for the final point spread. Additionally, weather conditions, lineup announcements, and pre-game betting trends may influence trader sentiment and shift odds in the days leading up to the match.