TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata?

Volume:
$1,420,715

Racing Avellaneda

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 8:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Racing Avellaneda

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$594,929
N/A
N/A
$255,608
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Racing Club

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$207,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gimnasia La Plata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$345,353
N/A
N/A
$220,008
Settled
No
polymarket

Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$194,575
N/A
N/A
$106,463
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,864
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Racing Club will win their upcoming soccer match against Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata. The aggregated consensus probability for Racing Club to win stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution governed by the official rules from the Argentina Primera Division via afa.com.ar. The match outcome will be determined following the end of regular play plus stoppage time on July 24, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation resolution. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely, creating potential ambiguity.Hero tip: If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will profit while win position holders lose. Kalshi's silence on cancellation means resolution authority will default to platform discretion. Hedge across platforms or seek explicit cancellation guidance from Kalshi before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Racing win, Draw, Gimnasia win). Win markets resolve NO on cancellation with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up. Postponement keeps markets open. Resolution source: official AFA statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) and 'Yes' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Racing Avellaneda win, Gimnasia La Plata win, Tie). Each resolves YES if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] is the result of the Racing Avellaneda vs Gimnasia La Plata professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Friday, July 24, 2026 between Racing Club and Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score of the Racing Avellaneda vs Gimnasia La Plata professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Racing Avellaneda win, Gimnasia La Plata win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Racing Club vs. Gimnasia match across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds and volume for the match outcome. Both venues host contracts on who will win, reflecting independent trader sentiment and liquidity pools. The cross-platform view helps you spot pricing differences, track consensus probability shifts, and understand where the broader prediction market community is positioning ahead of the event. Volume and odds updates reflect live trading activity on each platform.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often adjusting for sharp action and public sentiment. Prediction markets, by contrast, derive prices from continuous trader bidding—each contract's price reflects the collective belief of participants willing to stake capital. Prediction market odds often incorporate longer-term information and can diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, especially when one venue attracts specialized traders or sees concentrated volume on a particular outcome.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift odds significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings. Unexpected managerial decisions, disciplinary actions, or travel disruptions may also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and venue factors closer to the match date can prompt repricing. Media coverage, expert commentary, and social sentiment occasionally trigger volume spikes and directional moves. Monitor official team channels and sports news for developments that could alter perceived match probability.