TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Racing Club vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia
Volume:
$230,927
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) and CS Independiente Rivadavia scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi to predict the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regulation play only, excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon game cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi's draw outcome only resolves YES for actual regulation-time ties. This creates conflicting settlement logic for the cancellation edge case.Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk carefully. If you are long draw on Polymarket, cancellation is profitable. If you are short draw on Polymarket, cancellation is a loss. Kalshi traders should assume standard cancellation protocol (market voids or resolves to NO). Hedge across platforms if exposure is significant.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets: Racing win YES/NO, Rivadavia win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO. Draw market uniquely states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' This means cancellation triggers draw resolution to YES regardless of actual match outcome.
- Kalshi: Single ternary market with three mutually exclusive outcomes: Rivadavia wins, Racing wins, or Tie. Each outcome resolves YES only if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard market cancellation protocol implied.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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