TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Racing Club Montevideo and Club Nacional de Football, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Racing Club Montevideo vs. Club Nacional de Football match originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Racing Club Montevideo and Club Nacional de Football, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Racing Club Montevideo vs. Club Nacional de Football match originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced probabilities rather than set operator margins. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds to guarantee profit across all outcomes, prediction markets price based purely on trader balance dynamics. This can lead to tighter spreads or more volatile shifts as trading volume grows, especially for niche matchups like this one.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually place bets that directly set the market price through supply and demand dynamics. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of funds behind each possible score outcome. As more traders engage, especially around key events or news, the odds can shift quickly to align with emerging consensus or sharp disagreements among participants.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact final score will be compared against all listed market outcomes to determine which one matches the official result, and that outcome will be marked as settled shortly afterward.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the match, or shifts in team form revealed through recent performances could all influence this market. Traders often react to pre-match news, live in-game updates, and even betting trends on Polymarket as new information emerges, causing rapid price adjustments before the final whistle.