TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 6:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the outcome of the Quilmes AC vs. Club Almagro professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match scheduled for August 8-9, 2026. The markets focus on determining whether Quilmes AC wins, Club Almagro wins, or the match ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Sunday, August 9, 2026 between Quilmes AC and Club Almagro.
The event resolves based on the result of the Quilmes vs Almagro professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game scheduled for August 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Quilmes win, Almagro win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the result within the standard match duration, with no regard for post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty kicks.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more retail traders reacting quickly to news, while the other could see slower, more measured moves from larger participants. These dynamics often produce divergent probabilities, especially ahead of key events or when new information emerges about team conditions or referee decisions.
Injuries, weather updates, tactical changes, or even early-game scoring can shift this market dramatically. Key moments such as lineup announcements, recent form, or disciplinary actions often trigger rapid reassessments. Traders will also watch for any last-minute lineup changes or pitch conditions that could favor one side, potentially moving probabilities by several points before the match begins.