TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX soccer match between Querétaro FC and FC Juárez scheduled for February 22, 2026. Markets span three outcome types (Querétaro win, Juárez win, draw) on Polymarket, plus four margin-of-victory markets on Kalshi (Querétaro >1.5 and >2.5 goal wins, Juárez >1.5 and >2.5 goal wins). All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling: Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi's margin markets lack explicit cancellation language and would resolve NO by standard practice. Additionally, Polymarket covers all three outcomes (win/loss/draw) while Kalshi covers only margin thresholds, creating incomplete market overlap.Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk closely. If the game is canceled with no make-up, you will face a YES resolution on Polymarket's draw market but NO resolutions on all Kalshi margin markets. This creates a potential arbitrage trap. Confirm cancellation protocols with both platforms in writing before February 22, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three binary outcome markets (Querétaro win, Juárez win, draw). All three markets remain open if postponed until completion. Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Four margin-of-victory markets (Querétaro >1.5 goals, Querétaro >2.5 goals, Juárez >1.5 goals, Juárez >2.5 goals). No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Standard market practice implies NO resolution if game does not occur. Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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